Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 170.427074 201.520397 239.373781 289.750505 356.471979 4.440128e+02 571.540153
2025-01-26 137.602321 177.047477 231.618503 316.314476 452.203238 6.784343e+02 1130.452503
2025-02-02 124.911324 170.708121 240.361352 362.607252 594.774888 1.084863e+03 2515.873752
2025-02-09 107.152139 151.673671 223.333641 359.255769 648.773497 1.380467e+03 4408.788166
2025-02-16 95.868183 139.828784 214.156039 365.392508 724.974385 1.823758e+03 8982.951812
2025-02-23 87.021317 130.102522 206.013170 370.187134 801.966117 2.401038e+03 21461.965509
2025-03-02 80.467066 123.040505 200.970657 379.600573 899.482518 3.285063e+03 81243.392622
2025-03-09 74.549788 116.131523 194.714039 384.091579 988.210382 4.431877e+03 916699.614859
2025-03-16 68.026424 107.242110 182.902375 371.393872 1011.981270 5.319414e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 65.147173 104.678660 183.535523 391.059054 1177.732986 8.482988e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 59.702796 96.628023 171.234403 371.829113 1166.826925 9.730693e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 56.461984 92.482003 166.822967 374.069088 1261.556365 1.401926e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 52.393704 86.711102 158.863388 366.576663 1321.954493 2.003823e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 51.271314 86.727004 164.280912 403.842092 1705.395799 6.992324e+04 NaN
2025-04-27 51.363517 89.204414 176.097546 469.870297 2492.317817 4.478616e+06 NaN
2025-05-04 48.269814 84.574200 169.323198 465.044001 2692.983895 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 46.044232 81.568863 166.234652 473.886593 3092.844411 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.967955 78.666037 162.929342 480.811727 3532.370460 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.296193 76.486214 161.224558 494.449679 4182.581358 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.552589 73.969347 158.179752 500.975445 4808.459040 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.272778 70.031180 150.551579 482.556942 4865.049362 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.416512 69.302087 152.080390 511.124222 6342.770978 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 35.235415 65.299895 143.438377 483.186622 6060.111973 NaN NaN